EL PAÍS data expert Kiko Llaneras share his insights into the 2024 election, political forecasting and why the Republican is consistently underestimated ...

Even though Trump spewed violent and anti-democratic rhetoric, these voters think he can help the economy and their bottom line.

According to Ladbrokes, Trump is 4/11 to see out four years in the Oval Office. These odds carry a 73.3% probability and reflect the likelihood that the incoming president will last his term. However, ...